Every essay — page 12
Orbitals Where the atoms go Bonding models What symmetry decides Beyond the octet What a spectrum settles When the molecule does not stop What the shape is for What is taught wrongly Series Named objects Orbitals Refutations Search
Bonding models
Valence bond, molecular orbital, and hybrids — three descriptions of one thing, related by transformations that change no observable.
The error bar that would be needed
Two things a pair of measurements can say without any model both treat their numbers as exact. The quoted measurements carry no uncertainties, and inventing some would be worse than having none — so the question is asked the other way round. Not what the errors are, but how large they would have to be. The three refutations that seemed most worrying turn out to be the sturdiest of the lot.
The five figures were an identity
Two lone pairs satisfy the two-orbital mixing criterion by a margin of 1.732128, against √3 = 1.732051 — agreement to five figures on a number assembled from three integrals over a numerical grid. It is exact. The criterion is the reciprocal of the p amplitude of the outward hybrid, and everything else in the molecule cancels out of it.
The other end of the bracket is not a number
Every claim can be priced by the measurement error it would take to overturn it, assuming the two errors independent, and the correlated extreme ought to turn each price into a bracket. At perfect correlation between equally precise measurements the difference is exact and the price is infinite — and every price is multiplied by the same factor, so the ordering of prices cannot change.
A bend is not an end
Moving a heteroatom from the end of a straight chain of twelve rings to its middle leaves the decay unchanged and halves the amplitude, which raises the question of whether a bend in the chain is a boundary of the same kind. It is not a boundary of the same kind: the kink — two adjacent angular fusions — leaves the fitted decay length within two per cent and costs the heteroatom's own ring a fifth only on the kink's first angular ring. It does multiply down the response on the rings beyond it, which a decay length does not see.
The ranking moved and the headline did not
One correlation applied across a collection multiplies every price by the same number, so it slides the fragility ordering rigidly and cannot scramble it. Give each predictor its own correlation and the ordering does move — but not at the top. The two most fragile claims come from the same predictor, share a factor, and are locked in order at every correlation whatever; the easiest swap anywhere below them needs only ρ = 0.15.
The criterion that has never said no
The two-orbital mixing criterion is a tautology on a carbonyl's lone pairs, and it is tempting to contrast that with the double bond, where the criterion seems to discriminate. Both halves are wrong. The double bond's margin is wider, ethene's is infinite because symmetry puts both centroids at the same point, and the criterion has never returned a negative on any case it is usually put to — though the same three orbitals supply two pairs it refuses outright.
A level no symmetry was protecting
A three-orbital trio keeps one level at the free-atom energy exactly, and the reason given was that its two outer orbitals are equivalent. Make them inequivalent by changing one overlap rather than one energy and the level does not move at all — not to first order, not to any order, at any energy of the third orbital. It was never the symmetry. It is allyl's non-bonding orbital, held by a count.
Three chains and ninety orderings ruled out
Two claims priced against the same predictor share its error correlation, so no correlation structure can reorder them. That makes the collection's fragility ranking three chains rather than one list — and thirty of the hundred and twenty orderings of five claims are reachable, with the other ninety forbidden before a single measured difference is looked at.
A denominator needs three currencies
Every price in this argument has been a price on a measured rise. A slope floor is a rise over a run, the run is computed rather than measured, and pricing it turns out to need three currencies rather than one — because one predictor's run is a graph eigenvalue, one is a convention, and one is a difference of square roots of integers that nothing defensible moves.
A floor on models written in one scale
A tie asks whether two predicted values are equal and a discordance asks whether two differences have the same sign. Both are questions about order, and a strictly increasing change of scale preserves order — so both are exactly invariant under thirteen reparameterisations of all three predictors. The slope floor asks for a ratio of differences, and it moves by factors of nineteen, ten and eleven thousand.
The spin the count does not hold
Three orbitals in a row keep one level at the free-atom energy however the overlap of one end is changed, and at three electrons that level holds the radical's unpaired electron. Its energy does not move. Its spin does: from half on each end to 0.236 and 0.764 as one overlap goes from 0.25 to 0.45, exactly the squared ratio of the two overlaps, at every energy of the middle orbital. A coupling between the ends moves the level and cannot move the spin. The energy and the spin are answering to different things.
The scatter counts angular rings
Eight nine-ring chains built by turning one fusion looked like one bend moved along a molecule. They were two families: one angular ring when the turned fusion is at an end, two adjacent angular rings everywhere else. Built from stated angular rings instead, twenty-seven chains show the ring-current scatter ignores which way a ring turns, does not grow with how many turn, and is mostly explained by one count per pair — each angular ring between two rings multiplies their response by 0.60, each one under them by 0.65.